Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 50.5%
Pronosticadores
233
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado16 feb 24, 23:44 UTC1 ene 00, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will there be another new member of the Straw Hat Pirates before the end of One Piece?
Manifold MarketsWill Luffy find the One Piece by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Luffy find the One Piece in 2026?
Manifold MarketsPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
Kalshi"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketNext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
KalshiReglas
Good waiting, friends 🥂
- (28 Feb ‘24 Edit for clarification)
- This question will resolve as “YES” if any member of the Straw Hat Pirates (only those on Luffy’s direct crew, not the Grand Fleet) die before one or more members look at the One Piece with their eyes.
- Will resolve as “NO” otherwise.
- I do not answer my own questions.
Mercados abiertos
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 342,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 91,2 mil €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 182,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 90,8 mil €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+25.1pt47.2%
- No Bond chosen-3.1pt18.9%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 resultados más
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+8.0pt46%
- Jack Barton-4.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt18%
+27 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,8 M €
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 264,6 mil €
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-53.0pt14%
- Above 50-56.0pt8%
- Above 55-48.0pt2%
+14 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 84,3 mil €
- Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Steam: Weekly Top Seller
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will a member of the Straw Hat crew die before they find the One Piece??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 51% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will a member of the Straw Hat crew die before they find the One Piece??
- Está previsto que Will a member of the Straw Hat crew die before they find the One Piece? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2100.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will a member of the Straw Hat crew die before they find the One Piece??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Good waiting, friends 🥂