Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 74%
Pronosticadores
36
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 horas
Desactualizado3 abr 24, 3:20 UTC1 ene 30, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will any cloned human organs, including the organs of viable cloned human infants, exist by EOY 2029?
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Manifold MarketsHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
PolymarketReglas
If by December 31, 2029, any scientist, group, or institution announces the birth of a cloned human baby, and that birth is recognized as legit by the scientific community, that question will be answered with "Yes".
Mercados abiertos
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.2pt97%
- Yes+0.2pt3%
- Volumen total
- 15,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 20,3 mil €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+0.6pt4%
- Volumen total
- 1,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 8 mil €
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Volumen total
- 84,1 mil €
POLYMARKETEbola pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Volumen total
- 652,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 3,4 mil €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-4.0pt58%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 865,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 3 mil €
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+1.0pt94.1%
- Yes-1.0pt5.9%
- Volumen total
- 915,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,2 mil €
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- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will a cloned human baby be born before 2030?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 74% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will a cloned human baby be born before 2030?
- Está previsto que Will a cloned human baby be born before 2030 se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will a cloned human baby be born before 2030?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If by December 31, 2029, any scientist, group, or institution announces the birth of a cloned human baby, and that birth is recognized as legit by the scientific community, that question will be answered with "Yes".