Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 70.8%
Pronosticadores
41
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 23 horas
Desactualizado17 ene 24, 17:59 UTC1 mar 30, 22:59 UTC
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will 1M humanoid robots be manufactured before 2030?
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KalshiReglas
Resolves as YES if at least 500 thousand humanoid robots have been manufactured before January 1st 2030.
- Different number of robots:
- @/RemNi/will-2k-humanoid-robots-be-manufact-0686840a9b86
- @/RemNi/will-5k-humanoid-robots-be-manufact-cada66fe0215
- @/RemNi/will-10k-humanoid-robots-be-manufac-c55c48255552
- @/RemNi/will-20k-humanoid-robots-be-manufac-027d2adb7b87
Mercados abiertos
WeatherPOLYMARKETHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
- 32°C+90.5pt100%
- 25°C or below-0.1pt0%
- 26°C0%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 141,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 129,1 mil €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- 22°C+77.4pt100%
- 17°C or below-1.1pt0%
- 18°C-4.0pt0%
+8 resultados más
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+68.5pt100%
- 21°C or below-0.3pt0%
- 22°C-0.9pt0%
+8 resultados más
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- 93° or above87.6%
- 91° to 92°7.6%
- 89° to 90°1.9%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 72,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 71,8 mil €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 9, 2026?
- Miami+44.0pt99%
- Chicago+13.0pt99%
- Houston64%
+19 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 71,6 mil €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 9?
- 28°C+47.0pt100%
- 24°C or below0%
- 25°C-0.1pt0%
+8 resultados más
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Milan on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 9?
- Highest temperature in London on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Taipei on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 9?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will 500K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2030??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 71% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will 500K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2030??
- Está previsto que Will 500K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2030? se resuelva el 1 de marzo de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will 500K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves as YES if at least 500 thousand humanoid robots have been manufactured before January 1st 2030.