Wil Trump pardon political violence that occurs during his second term?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 66.7%
Sí 66.7%Pronosticadores
31
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Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado21 ene 25, 13:45 UTC20 ene 29, 22:59 UTC
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FutuurReglas
Democracy observers worry that pardoning J6 insurrectionists incentivizes future political violence, because it signals that Donald Trump might shield them from legal consequences.
- Political violence against opponents of the President is a commonly used tactic for authoritarian capture.
- Will Trump do this?
- What counts: pardoning assassination attempt, attacking opposing protestors, etc., attacks on Republicans by far-right individuals will also count
- The violence must occur during the second term.
