Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualAdam Hamilton (d) 96.2%+38.3ptLíder entre 3 opciones
Pronosticadores
8
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+62.8 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado29 oct 26, 0:06 UTC1 ene 27, 2:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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KalshiReglas
Polls indicate a possible upset, but if we’ve learned anything in the last two elections… polls are often wrong.
- Kansas hadn’t elected a Democrat senator since 1932.
- If the election is clearly called by at least 2 major news organizations the question will settle.
- If the result is in doubt it will resolve by the end of the year when it does get called or, if needed with a best estimate based on Kalshi odds
