Who will win the 2026 Oakland City Council District 2 election?
10.8 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.Elección13d
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNate Adams 50.8%+10.8ptLíder entre 3 opciones
Pronosticadores
2
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+10.8 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado26 oct 26, 22:48 UTC10 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the winner of the Oakland City Council District 2 election held on November 3, 2026.
- Resolution will be based on reputable media reporting and/or concession by the losing candidate(s), or finally by the results certified by the Alameda County Registrar of Voters or the City of Oakland's official election certification.
- If an unlisted candidate wins the election, the market will resolve to "Other" (or equivalent unlisted option).
- Oakland City Council District 2 includes neighborhoods surrounding Lake Merritt, Chinatown, and parts of East Oakland.
- Incumbent Councilmember the named outcome first won the seat in a 2025 special election to complete the remainder of Nikki Fortunato Bas's term after Bas was elected to the Alameda County Board of Supervisors.
