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  1. Mercados de Predicción
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  3. Who will win the 2026 election for California's 51st State Assembly district
Manifold Markets

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 51st State Assembly district

PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElección6m
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSin KYC
Pronóstico comunitario actual
Manifold Markets
Rick Zbur (Incumbent) 66.8%
Líder entre 4 opciones
Pronosticadores

1

Tipo de pregunta

multiple choice

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 8 días

Desactualizado
25 ago 25, 15:0431 dic 26, 23:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Rick Zbur (Incumbent)67%

Reglas

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • Resolves to the option matching the candidate certified by the California Secretary of State as the winner of California State Assembly District 51 in the November 3, 2026 general election (after any recounts/court-ordered adjustments).
  • Primary outcomes do not resolve this market.
  • Verification: California SOS results portal and the final Statement of Vote; LA County Registrar results may be used as corroboration.
  • Links: https://electionresults.sos.ca.gov/ and https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/prior-elections/statewide-election-results and https://results.lavote.gov/.
  • (sos.ca.gov, sonomacounty.ca.gov)

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Activos en estos temas

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Reglas

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • Resolves to the option matching the candidate certified by the California Secretary of State as the winner of California State Assembly District 51 in the November 3, 2026 general election (after any recounts/court-ordered adjustments).
  • Primary outcomes do not resolve this market.
  • Verification: California SOS results portal and the final Statement of Vote; LA County Registrar results may be used as corroboration.
  • Links: https://electionresults.sos.ca.gov/ and https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/prior-elections/statewide-election-results and https://results.lavote.gov/.
  • (sos.ca.gov, sonomacounty.ca.gov)