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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Geopolítica
  3. Who will take Iran's place at the football world championship?
Manifold Markets

Who will take Iran's place at the football world championship?

GeopolíticaIADeportes1m
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSin KYC
Pronóstico comunitario actual
Manifold Markets
Iran will participate despite the conflict with the USA. 98%
Líder entre 5 opciones
Pronosticadores

21

Tipo de pregunta

multiple choice

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 5 días

Desactualizado
5 abr 26, 15:4719 jul 26, 15:43

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad
Manifold Markets
Italy will participate as the world number 12.
0.5%
Manifold Markets
This answer option will not be resolved.
0.2%
Manifold Markets
Other
0.5%

Resultado elegido

Iran will participate despite the conflict with the USA.98%

Reglas

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market resolves to the national football team that officially takes the place of Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup should Iran withdraw or be excluded from the tournament.
  • "Iran will participate": Resolves to YES if Iran remains in the tournament and competes in their scheduled matches.
  • "The next best Asian team": Resolves to YES if FIFA replaces Iran with an Asian Football Confederation (AFC) nation based on qualifying criteria (e.g., the highest-ranked non-qualified team from the AFC or the direct runner-up from the relevant qualifying pathway).
  • "Italy will participate as the world number 12": Resolves to YES if FIFA elects to replace Iran with Italy.
  • "Other": Resolves to YES if FIFA selects any other team not explicitly listed above, or if FIFA decides to proceed with the tournament without replacing Iran (e.g., playing with a reduced group).

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Reglas

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market resolves to the national football team that officially takes the place of Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup should Iran withdraw or be excluded from the tournament.
  • "Iran will participate": Resolves to YES if Iran remains in the tournament and competes in their scheduled matches.
  • "The next best Asian team": Resolves to YES if FIFA replaces Iran with an Asian Football Confederation (AFC) nation based on qualifying criteria (e.g., the highest-ranked non-qualified team from the AFC or the direct runner-up from the relevant qualifying pathway).
  • "Italy will participate as the world number 12": Resolves to YES if FIFA elects to replace Iran with Italy.
  • "Other": Resolves to YES if FIFA selects any other team not explicitly listed above, or if FIFA decides to proceed with the tournament without replacing Iran (e.g., playing with a reduced group).