Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualGavin Newsom 52.1%Líder entre 53 opciones
Pronosticadores
78
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado10 oct 22, 18:57 UTC30 nov 28, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will JD Vance be the 48th (next) President?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the 48th president of the United States?
Manifold MarketsWill the next elected President of the USA serve the full term?
Manifold Markets2028 Democratic presidential nominee
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PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve to the name of the person, who becomes the 48th President of the United States, whether as the result of the 2028 elections or otherwise (ie.
- Vice President takes the chair).
- Please note, that the question asks about the 48th POTUS.
- If, for example, the named outcome wins the 2024 elections (47th President) and gets reelected, this market will resolve only after the 48th POTUS takes office. -------------------------
- Jan 6, 9:05pm: Who will become the 48th President of the USA? → Who will become the 48th (the next next) President of the USA?
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 697,7 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 471,3 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 resultados más
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Who will be the 48th President of the USA??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Gavin Newsom al 52% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Who will be the 48th President of the USA??
- Está previsto que Who will be the 48th President of the USA? se resuelva el 30 de noviembre de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Who will be the 48th President of the USA??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to the name of the person, who becomes the 48th President of the United States, whether as the result of the 2028 elections or otherwise (ie.