Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
JD Vance 46.6%Líder entre 15 opciones
Pronosticadores
46
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+11.2 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado16 feb 24, 3:00 UTC12 nov 28, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
0.4%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiReglas
This market resolves to the next Republican Party Nominee who is not Donald trump, in whatever year that happens.
- This means that if Trump steps aside or dies before the 2024 election, this market resolves to whoever replaces him.
- But if Trump is not replaced, then this market remains open until there is a nominee in a future election cycle who is not Donald Trump.
- If you have any suggestions for other potential candidates to add, please leave a comment below.
Mercados abiertos
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 697,7 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 471,3 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 resultados más
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Who will be the next Republican Nominee who is not Donald Trump, in 2024 or beyond??
- Manifold Markets cotiza JD Vance al 47% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Who will be the next Republican Nominee who is not Donald Trump, in 2024 or beyond??
- Está previsto que Who will be the next Republican Nominee who is not Donald Trump, in 2024 or beyond? se resuelva el 12 de noviembre de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Who will be the next Republican Nominee who is not Donald Trump, in 2024 or beyond??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market resolves to the next Republican Party Nominee who is not Donald trump, in whatever year that happens.