Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualJD Vance 52%Líder entre 10 opciones
Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado31 may 26, 2:08 UTC1 jul 28, 16:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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Who going to be the Republican 2028 candidate?
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Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
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PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketReglas
(EN) The 2028 Republican primary is shaping up as the first true post-Trump succession battle inside the modern GOP.
- With President Donald Trump term-limited, the central question is whether Republican voters choose a direct heir to the MAGA movement or pivot toward a different conservative coalition.
- (ES) Las primarias republicanas de 2028 se perfilan como la primera verdadera batalla por la sucesión dentro del Partido Republicano moderno tras la era Trump.
- Con el mandato del presidente Donald Trump limitado, la cuestión central es si los votantes republicanos elegirán a un heredero directo del movimiento MAGA o se decantarán por una coalición conservadora diferente.
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 691,8 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,1 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,6 M €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Who will be the next Republican candidate for 2028??
- Manifold Markets cotiza JD Vance al 52% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Who will be the next Republican candidate for 2028??
- Está previsto que Who will be the next Republican candidate for 2028? se resuelva el 1 de julio de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Who will be the next Republican candidate for 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: (EN) The 2028 Republican primary is shaping up as the first true post-Trump succession battle inside the modern GOP.