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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Inflation
  3. Who will be the first trillionaire?
Manifold Markets

Who will be the first trillionaire?

InflationTecnología4a
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSin KYC
Pronóstico comunitario actual
Manifold Markets
Elon Musk 99%
Líder entre 7 opciones
Pronosticadores

9

Tipo de pregunta

multiple choice

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 5 minutos

29 dic 25, 17:0429 dic 30, 23:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad
Manifold Markets
Jeff Bezos
0.2%
Manifold Markets
Larry Ellison
0.2%
Manifold Markets
Mark Zuckerberg
0.2%
Manifold Markets
Jensen Huang
0.2%
Manifold Markets
Larry Page
0.2%

Resultado elegido

Elon Musk99%

Reglas

Market Description:

Manifold Markets
  • Resolution criteria:
  • Resolves to the first person whose net worth reaches $1,000,000,000,000 USD (one trillion US dollars) as reported by Bloomberg Billionaires Index OR Forbes Real-Time Billionaires.
  • Net worth must be publicly reported by at least one of the above sources
  • Intraday spikes count (no minimum holding period)
  • Nominal USD — no inflation adjustment

Mercados Relacionados

Manifold Markets

Which of the 7 current largest companies by market cap will still be in the top 7 EOY 2026

36,2 €
NVIDIA: 94.6%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
How high will inflation get in 2026?

How high will inflation get in 2026?

22,9 mil €
Above 4%: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - June 2026

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - June 2026

9 mil €
40.0–42.9: 34%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Producer Price Index (PPI) YoY - May 2026

Producer Price Index (PPI) YoY - May 2026

6,2 mil €
6.0%–6.9%: 91%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will Argentina's year-over-year inflation be below 18% for December 2026?

1,3 mil €
Sí: 2%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will the inflation rate reach or exceed X at any point during 2026?

716,8 €
y ≥ 2.0%: 100%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$61,999.77+1.15%SolanaSOL$64.39+0.09%EthereumETH$1,633.32+0.58%DogecoinDOGE$0.0838-0.08%BNBBNB$590.75+0.61%XRPXRP$1.11-0.96%

Noticias Relacionadas

BlackRock warns of energy shock as May CPI is set to show acceleration in inflationCoindeskBitcoin braces for inflation shock as CPI puts bulls on edgeCrypto NewsBlame bitcoin's tumble on rising inflation, not Strategy, 10xResearch arguesCoindeskU.S. inflation, European Central Bank rate decision: Crypto Week AheadCoindeskBNP Paribas warns inflation threat could trigger three Fed hikesCrypto NewsGoogle Unveils Gemini 3.5 and AI Upgrades at I/O 2026Blockchain.News

Reglas

Market Description:

Manifold Markets
  • Resolution criteria:
  • Resolves to the first person whose net worth reaches $1,000,000,000,000 USD (one trillion US dollars) as reported by Bloomberg Billionaires Index OR Forbes Real-Time Billionaires.
  • Net worth must be publicly reported by at least one of the above sources
  • Intraday spikes count (no minimum holding period)
  • Nominal USD — no inflation adjustment