Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
2035-2036 17.6%Líder entre 9 opciones
Pronosticadores
17
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado2 feb 24, 19:14 UTC1 ene 50, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the construction of the space hotel Voyager Station begin in 2026?
Manifold MarketsConstruction of the space hotel Voyager Station to begin by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill the Voyager Station space hotel receive its first guests in 2027?
FutuurWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
PolymarketReglas
Voyager 1 is still on its way to outer space and currently (Jan. 2024) 24.4 billion km away from earth.
- Due to dimishing radioactiv power a lot of instruments had to shut down, but the probe is still able to send data.
- Even though that takes 22.5h one way and currently only transmits glitched data this counts for the purpose of this market.
- This market will resolve to the year in which the last successful communication with the probe will be made.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Voyager_1
Mercados abiertos
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 103,1 mil €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volumen total
- 57,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 57,4 mil €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 resultados más
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 resultados más
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volumen total
- 817,9 mil €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Which year do we lose contact with Voyager 1??
- Manifold Markets cotiza 2035-2036 al 18% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Which year do we lose contact with Voyager 1??
- Está previsto que Which year do we lose contact with Voyager 1? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2050.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Which year do we lose contact with Voyager 1??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Voyager 1 is still on its way to outer space and currently (Jan. 2024) 24.4 billion km away from earth.