Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actual
Barack Obama 82.4%Líder entre 6 opciones
Barack Obama 82.4%Pronosticadores
46
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado17 nov 24, 10:36 UTC1 ene 51, 5:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
All listed who are alive when an artificial general intelligence (AGI) is created will resolve YES.
- Any who die before this time will resolve NO.
- Whether AGI has been reached will depend on this market.
- So, there must be proof of an AI passing the Turing test for any living president in this market to resolve YES.
- If any new president is elected before AGI, their name will be added to this market.
