Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable
Pronóstico comunitario actual
Socialdemokraterna (Social democrats) 82.1%
Líder entre 9 opciones
Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+8.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 45 minutos
Retrasado
11 feb 24, 9:3819 sept 26, 21:59
Tendencias
Resultado24hProbabilidad
Reglas
Next opportunity to form a new government (regering) is expected to be after the next election on the 13th September 2026.
This market closes one week after the election, and very likely before a new government has formed.
This market could close sooner if a successful vote of no confidence occurs then this is closed a week after the vote.
In the unlikely event no new government is formed after a vote of no confidence or election and a new election is called then this market will open again (if that's possible?) and close again one week after the new election.
This market will resolve Yes for the one party that successfully leads the formation of a new Swedish government, and No on all others (including parties that become part of a coalition government).
To be more precise it resolves Yes for the party that a newly elected Prime Minister is member of.
¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Which Swedish political party will successfully form a government next??
Manifold Markets cotiza Socialdemokraterna (Social democrats) al 82% a fecha de 21 de agosto de 2026.
¿Cuándo se resuelve Which Swedish political party will successfully form a government next??
Está previsto que Which Swedish political party will successfully form a government next? se resuelva el 19 de septiembre de 2026.
¿Cómo se liquida Which Swedish political party will successfully form a government next??
Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Next opportunity to form a new government (regering) is expected to be after the next election on the 13th September 2026.