Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualShip 42 33.3%+0.5ptLíder entre 10 opciones
Pronosticadores
23
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+0.7 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 minutos
1 jul 25, 21:24 UTC31 oct 26, 21:12 UTC
Tendencias
0.5%
0.4%
0.4%
0.4%
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Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to the first SpaceX Starship to successfully land on the catch arms (chopsticks) of a launch tower.
- The vehicle must come to rest in one piece on the chopsticks, but any following event, including destruction, will not affect the resolution.
- S37 and S38 are the final remaining Block 2 ships.
- S39 is the first Block 3 ship.
- Newer ships may be added as needed.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Which Starship will be the first to be caught??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Ship 42 al 33% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Which Starship will be the first to be caught??
- Está previsto que Which Starship will be the first to be caught? se resuelva el 31 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Which Starship will be the first to be caught??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution Criteria