Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualPolymarket 62.6%Líder entre 8 opciones
Pronosticadores
53
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado20 feb 25, 0:06 UTC11 nov 28, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Charles Schwab customers have access to a prediction market on the 2028 US presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWhich benchmarket will have the highest volume on MNX in 2026?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election
Polymarket2028 Democratic presidential nominee
KalshiReglas
Only trading volume on the final US 2028 presidential election results will count (e.g. Trump v Harris, ie no primary races).
- Any real-money prediction market or betting platform globally counts.
- I will exclude obvious wash trading insofar as I'm able to spot it (not an important factor in the 2024 election, but it might be in the future if these platforms continue to operate without fees).
- I may add more answers to this market if new serious competitors emerge.
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 697,7 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 471,3 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 resultados más
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Highest volume prediction market for 2028 US prez election??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Polymarket al 63% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Highest volume prediction market for 2028 US prez election??
- Está previsto que Highest volume prediction market for 2028 US prez election? se resuelva el 11 de noviembre de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Highest volume prediction market for 2028 US prez election??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Only trading volume on the final US 2028 presidential election results will count (e.g. Trump v Harris, ie no primary races).