Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualManifest (June, Berkeley) 100%Líder entre 9 opciones
Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado1 may 26, 11:17 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Each option resolves 50% if I attend or YES if I speak.
- Context dump:
- I am Eli Goldfine/@realTomBayes on X
- I already have Manifest tickets
- I am based in NYC
- Predict2026 has offered to cover my travel expenses if I agree to moderate a panel, others are in the works
