Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Ohio's 4th District?
0.2 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.ElecciónElecciones de mitad de mandato de EE. UU. 202613d
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualRepublican Party — Jim Jordan 97%+0.2ptLíder entre 3 opciones
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+0.4 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
6 oct 26, 6:11 UTC4 nov 26, 12:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Ohio's 6th District?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Ohio's 11th District?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Ohio's 5th District?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Ohio's 8th District?
Manifold MarketsWill Kristina Knickerbocker win the Ohio 10th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill Mike Carey win the Ohio 15th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExReglas
This market resolves to the party of the winner of the 2026 election for U.S. Representative for Ohio's 4th congressional district — the term beginning January 3, 2027.
- Which round counts: the November 3, 2026 general election (plurality winner).
- Primaries do not count.
- Party rule: the winner's party is the party on whose line or with whose party designation they appear on the official general-election ballot.
- A candidate nominated by Democratic Party or Republican Party who also appears on other parties' lines (fusion) counts as that party's candidate.
- Candidates who are independent, have no party preference, or belong to any other party resolve to "the named outcome", even if they say they would caucus with a major party.
