Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Maryland's 1st District?
0.2 pts (24h)PolíticaMonthlyPolítica de EE. UU.ElecciónElecciones de mitad de mandato de EE. UU. 202615d
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualRepublican Party — Andy Harris 89%+0.2ptLíder entre 3 opciones
Pronosticadores
3
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
-4.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
6 oct 26, 5:55 UTC4 nov 26, 12:00 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market resolves to the party of the winner of the 2026 election for U.S. Representative for Maryland's 1st congressional district — the term beginning January 3, 2027.
- Which round counts: the November 3, 2026 general election (plurality winner).
- Primaries do not count.
- Party rule: the winner's party is the party on whose line or with whose party designation they appear on the official general-election ballot.
- A candidate nominated by Democratic Party or Republican Party who also appears on other parties' lines (fusion) counts as that party's candidate.
- Candidates who are independent, have no party preference, or belong to any other party resolve to "the named outcome", even if they say they would caucus with a major party.
