Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualRepublicans 60.4%
Pronosticadores
20
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+1.3 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado15 ene 26, 9:02 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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LimitlessReglas
Los criterios de resolución aún no están disponibles para este mercado. Las próximas actualizaciones completarán esta sección cuando se hayan guardado las reglas de la fuente.
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.2pt36.5%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt29.2%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.5%
+38 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 114,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,4 M €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance+0.4pt51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt18%
- Tucker Carlson4%
+39 resultados más
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro-4.7pt49.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+5.0pt48.5%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt2%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.8pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.4pt14%
+48 resultados más
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.7%
- Gavin Newsom14.6%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 185,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson-8.0pt71.6%
- Ulf Kristersson+9.0pt27.4%
- Ebba Busch+0.4pt1%
+7 resultados más
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Which Party will win the 2026 Senate Election in Iowa?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Republicans al 60% a fecha de 12 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Which Party will win the 2026 Senate Election in Iowa?
- Está previsto que Which Party will win the 2026 Senate Election in Iowa se resuelva el 3 de noviembre de 2026.