¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Which MPs will be reëlected at the next Australian federal election??

Manifold Markets cotiza Chris Bowen al 66.2% a fecha de 28 de octubre de 2026.

Which MPs will be reëlected at the next Australian federal election?

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

Chris Bowen 66.2%

Líder entre 4 opciones

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

multiple choice

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Cambio 7d

0.0 pts

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 13 horas

Desactualizado

21 may 25, 5:57 UTC30 jun 28, 5:52 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

Resolution criteria

An option will resolve YES if the person named is reëlected to the House of Representatives, in any division, at the next general election for the House of Representatives in Australia.
An option will resolve NO in all other cases, including if the person named does not seek reëlection or is elected to the Senate.
Resolution procedure
An option may resolve NO before the next general election if the person named dies or fails to nominate for election.
An option may resolve YES or NO after 6:00pm (Canberra time) on the day of the general election if the result can be projected with more than 99% confidence.