Which Justices will cease to be members of the US Supreme Court before the end of 2026?
US PoliticsPolítica3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualClarence Thomas 9.3%Líder entre 9 opciones
Pronosticadores
20
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado1 ene 26, 5:43 UTC1 ene 27, 7:59 UTC
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FutuurReglas
This question resolves YES to every above-listed Justice who resigns, dies, or for any other reason officially ceases to be a member of the Supreme Court of the United States before the end of 2026 (otherwise resolving NO on 1 Jan 2027; if no Justice ceases to be a member, then all options resolve NO).
- The Justices, in-order of time on the court, along with their ages and the party that appointed them:
- the named outcome (76, Republican)
- the named outcome (70, Republican)
- the named outcome (75, Republican)
- the named outcome (70, Democrat)
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Which Justices will cease to be members of the US Supreme Court before the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Clarence Thomas al 9% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Which Justices will cease to be members of the US Supreme Court before the end of 2026??
- Está previsto que Which Justices will cease to be members of the US Supreme Court before the end of 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Which Justices will cease to be members of the US Supreme Court before the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This question resolves YES to every above-listed Justice who resigns, dies, or for any other reason officially ceases to be a member of the Supreme Court of the United States before the end of 2026 (otherwise resolving NO on 1 Jan 2027; if no Justice ceases to be a member, then all options resolve NO).