Which company will have the top model on OpenRouter in December 2026?
Tokenization / RWAOne-OffIATecnología3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualDeepSeek 15.1%Líder entre 12 opciones
Pronosticadores
4
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado24 jun 26, 16:50 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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PolymarketReglas
This market resolves to the company that authored the single most-used model on OpenRouter during December 2026, measured by token volume and computed from OpenRouter's official rankings dataset.
- Determination.
- Using OpenRouter's daily rankings dataset (GET /api/v1/datasets/rankings-daily), the determining query is start_date=2026-12-01 and end_date=2026-12-31 (UTC, inclusive).
- For each model (model_permaslug), total_tokens (= prompt_tokens + completion_tokens) is summed across all returned days in that window.
- The model with the highest December total is the "#1 model," and the market resolves to that model's author company.
- Tokens are not summed across a company's models — only the single highest-total model determines the outcome.
Mercados abiertos
Tokenization / RWAPOLYMARKETWhat chain will the NYSE choose for tokenized securities?
- Multichain46%
- Own Chain+1.0pt44%
- Ethereum+0.3pt40%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 3,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- —
POLYMARKETWill RWAs hit $50B by which date?
- December 31, 202648%
- December 31-0.1pt0%
- Volumen total
- 9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSOpenAI issues crypto asset for financing before 2031?
- No69%
- Yes31%
- Volumen total
- 153,3 €
- Volumen 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill any tokenized basket or index investment product exceed $1 billion in AUM by the end of 2027?
- No53.5%
- Yes46.5%
- Volumen total
- 148,1 €
- Volumen 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the US treasury "be put on the blockchain" by the end of 2026?
- No95.1%
- Yes4.9%
- Volumen total
- 952,2 €
- Volumen 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Ethereum have easily tradeable tokenized NYSE stocks by end of 2030?
- Yes75.6%
- No24.4%
- Volumen total
- 202,9 €
- Volumen 24h
- —
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Which company will have the top model on OpenRouter in December 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza DeepSeek al 15% a fecha de 17 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Which company will have the top model on OpenRouter in December 2026??
- Está previsto que Which company will have the top model on OpenRouter in December 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Which company will have the top model on OpenRouter in December 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market resolves to the company that authored the single most-used model on OpenRouter during December 2026, measured by token volume and computed from OpenRouter's official rankings dataset.