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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Space
  3. Which comes first: 1GW of solar in orbit, or on the Moon?
Manifold Markets

Which comes first: 1GW of solar in orbit, or on the Moon?

One-OffSpaceCiencia24a
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSin KYC
Pronóstico comunitario actual
Manifold Markets
Orbit 86%
Pronosticadores

7

Tipo de pregunta

multiple choice

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 8 días

Desactualizado
17 dic 25, 22:5031 dic 50, 23:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Orbit86%

Reglas

Nameplate capacity, total across all users.

Manifold Markets
  • Best estimates -- if we can find a single source using consistent methods in advance, I may update to use that.
  • Moon is on the surface; orbit includes Lunar orbit.

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How many orbital launches will there be in 2027?

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Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?

Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?

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Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?

Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?

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Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

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Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,504.22-2.34%EthereumETH$1,690.50-2.97%SolanaSOL$68.33-4.27%DogecoinDOGE$0.0823-2.91%XRPXRP$1.13-4.03%BNBBNB$571.81-2.97%

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Reglas

Nameplate capacity, total across all users.

Manifold Markets
  • Best estimates -- if we can find a single source using consistent methods in advance, I may update to use that.
  • Moon is on the surface; orbit includes Lunar orbit.