Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
H1 2029 30.2%Líder entre 14 opciones
Pronosticadores
15
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 18 horas
Desactualizado9 feb 23, 16:43 UTC2 ene 30, 5:59 UTC
Tendencias
0.5%
0.4%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Who will be the next person to land on the moon?
Manifold MarketsWill Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
KalshiWill China land men on the moon before the USA?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX land on the MOON by Dec 31st 2029?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketReglas
Resolves to the half of the year when the next person steps foot on the moon.
- I will resolve N/A if in 6 years no one has step foot on the moon and I'm still on manifold
Mercados abiertos
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 103,1 mil €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volumen total
- 57,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 57,4 mil €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 resultados más
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 resultados más
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volumen total
- 817,9 mil €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de When will the next person be to land on the moon??
- Manifold Markets cotiza H1 2029 al 30% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve When will the next person be to land on the moon??
- Está previsto que When will the next person be to land on the moon? se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida When will the next person be to land on the moon??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves to the half of the year when the next person steps foot on the moon.