When will the first Virgin Galactic Delta ship successfully launch with humans to >70km?
SpaceTecnología9a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
2035 or earlier 40.2%Líder entre 6 opciones
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7
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado3 jul 24, 23:14 UTC31 dic 35, 12:59 UTC
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Virgin Galactic recently retired their SpaceShipTwo vehicle in order to develop their new Delta-class of vehicles - a similar spacecraft derived from SpaceShipTwo but designed to have a higher capacity (6 passengers instead of 4) and to be much easier to reuse
- They're currently aiming for a maiden flight in 2026
- Resolution criteria
- For the flight to count, the Delta-class ship must reach an altitude of >70km and safely land with at least one human on board
- A Delta-class ship is any more advanced ship derived from SpaceShipTwo
- (It does not necessarily need to be referred to as a 'Delta' ship to count)
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de When will the first Virgin Galactic Delta ship successfully launch with humans to >70km??
- Manifold Markets cotiza 2035 or earlier al 40% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve When will the first Virgin Galactic Delta ship successfully launch with humans to >70km??
- Está previsto que When will the first Virgin Galactic Delta ship successfully launch with humans to >70km? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2035.
- ¿Cómo se liquida When will the first Virgin Galactic Delta ship successfully launch with humans to >70km??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Virgin Galactic recently retired their SpaceShipTwo vehicle in order to develop their new Delta-class of vehicles - a similar spacecraft derived from SpaceShipTwo but designed to have a higher capacity (6 passengers instead of 4) and to be much easier to reuse