Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 60%
Pronosticadores
3
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 19 horas
Desactualizado3 jul 24, 21:49 UTC1 ene 30, 12:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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KalshiReglas
Resolution criteria
- Resolves YES if the company currently known as Virgin Galactic still exists in a recognisable form* on January 1st 2030
- Resolves NO otherwise, and may resolve earlier if it is sufficiently clear that it would resolve NO (eg bankruptcy with no signs of a possible revival)
- *To be considered a recognisable form:
- The company must be making progress towards (or currently operating) flights above 70km using an air launched spacecraft; and at least one of the following must still be true:
- 'Virgin' is still in its name (a brand name would count)
Mercados abiertos
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Virgin Galactic still exist in 2030??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 60% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Virgin Galactic still exist in 2030??
- Está previsto que Will Virgin Galactic still exist in 2030? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Virgin Galactic still exist in 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria