Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualBefore Jan 2028 59%+9.0ptLíder entre 5 opciones
Pronosticadores
4
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+9.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado17 ago 26, 8:1631 dic 27, 23:59
Tendencias
Reglas
Resolves based on the date of first documented autonomous driving of a Tesla Semi on publicly accessible roads.
- The requirements are intended to be quite minimal, but to be specific:
- The driving/testing program must be approved by relevant authorities (similarly to have other autonomous car deployments/testing were approved)
- At least 10 semis driving for at least a week
- Must cover at least 1000 miles of roads with non-negligible traffic levels (at least 1 car per minute on average)
- Human oversight or a safety driver is OK as long as the testing program clearly attempts full self driving.
Mercados abiertos
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $71,000 or above+42.0pt99%
- $70,000 or above+23.0pt99%
- $70,500 or above+33.0pt99%
+97 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 4,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,6 M €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026?
- 240-259+36.0pt73%
- 260-279+2.2pt27%
- 100-119-16.7pt0%
+23 resultados más
KALSHIBTC price on Aug 21, 2026 at 11am EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,100 or above99%
- $74,600 or above99%
+97 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 401,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 383,5 mil €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 18 - August 25, 2026?
- 280-299+7.8pt20.2%
- 300-319+2.5pt17.2%
- 260-279+5.5pt14.1%
+23 resultados más
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 70,000 to 74,999.99-1.9pt11.3%
- 75,000 to 79,999.99-0.7pt10.4%
- 80,000 to 84,999.99+4.2pt10.4%
+25 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIETH price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $2,250 or above+31.0pt99%
- $2,130 or above+5.0pt99%
- $1,970 or above99%
+47 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 467 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de When will Tesla Semi first drive autonomously on public roads??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Before Jan 2028 al 59% a fecha de 21 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve When will Tesla Semi first drive autonomously on public roads??
- Está previsto que When will Tesla Semi first drive autonomously on public roads? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida When will Tesla Semi first drive autonomously on public roads??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves based on the date of first documented autonomous driving of a Tesla Semi on publicly accessible roads.