Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 17 jul 2026, 19:20 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Pronóstico comunitario actualBefore 2027-07-01 86.8%-2.3ptLíder entre 8 opciones
Pronosticadores
32
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 días
Desactualizado20 may 24, 13:251 jul 27, 21:59
Tendencias
0%
0%
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Before 2027-01-0122%
Comparar plataformas· Before 2027-07-01
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMejor en general88% de coincidencia · verificado | Media | 40% | — | 59,4 € | 18,5 mil € | hace 12 minutos | Abrir → |
| Manifold MarketsEsta página | — | 87% | — | — | — | hace 10 días |
También disponible en Kalshi
When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?
2m
+3.0pt40%
13%
2%
57 • Calidad mediaSpread estrechoLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total49,6 mil €
Volumen 24h59,4 €
KALSHIReglas
As of May 2024, SpaceX and FAA are going through the Environmental assessment to clear SpaceX Starship rocket to be launched from Kennedy Space Center in Florida.
- It is anticipated that for Artemis III mission both launch location will be used.
- This question will resolve positively as soon as an orbital launch is attempted with Starship+Superheavy rocket from a launch pad in Kennedy Space Center.
- The question resolves positively even if the launch fails after the takeoff.
- Suborbital launches do not count.
- I do not bet on my own questions.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$279 jul4d de datos17 jul
Mercados Relacionados
Elon Musk # tweets July 21 - July 28, 2026?
619,2 mil €280-299: 61%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 27, 2026?
515 mil €87° or above: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
BTC price on Jul 31, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
385,2 mil €$65,000 or above: 50%KALSHI
KALSHIElon Musk # tweets July 24 - July 31, 2026?
249 mil €220-239: 22%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETBTC price on Jul 27, 2026 at 6pm EDT?
161,6 mil €$65,000 or above: 15%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by which date?
80,9 mil €September 30: 90%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActivos en estos temas
Noticias Relacionadas
Kimi-K3 Scales to 2.8T Parameters on AMD Instinct GPUsBlockchain.News
Circle Buys IBM Blockchain Patent Estate—And Becomes America's Biggest HolderDecrypt
Tesla wins UK 5G patent appeal over $32 feeCrypto News
Magic Labs Sells Wallet Business to Kraken Parent PaywardThe Defiant
Nvidia forms 37-member AI security alliance without OpenAI, Anthropic or GoogleCoindesk
Circle buys nearly 1,000 blockchain patents from IBMCoindeskReglas
As of May 2024, SpaceX and FAA are going through the Environmental assessment to clear SpaceX Starship rocket to be launched from Kennedy Space Center in Florida.
- It is anticipated that for Artemis III mission both launch location will be used.
- This question will resolve positively as soon as an orbital launch is attempted with Starship+Superheavy rocket from a launch pad in Kennedy Space Center.
- The question resolves positively even if the launch fails after the takeoff.
- Suborbital launches do not count.
- I do not bet on my own questions.