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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Space
  3. When will Starship first attempt propellant transfer from one ship to another in orbit?
When will Starship first attempt propellant transfer from one ship to another in orbit?

When will Starship first attempt propellant transfer from one ship to another in orbit?

One-OffSpace3a
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSin KYC
Pronóstico comunitario actual
Q2 2024 or earlier
Q2 2024 or earlier 0%
Líder entre 21 opciones
Pronosticadores

60

Tipo de pregunta

multiple choice

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado ayer

Desactualizado
10 feb 24, 20:031 ene 30, 22:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Before 2026-07-011%

Reglas

In Artemis program SpaceX Starship is going to be used as Human Landing System (HLS), landing on the Moon with Artemis astronauts.

Manifold Markets
  • When launched from land, Starship doesn't have enough propellant to get to Moon orbit, let alone Moon surface.
  • To solve this problem, Starship will have to be refueled in orbit.
  • On Starship 3rd flight SpaceX plans to demonstrate propellant transfer within one spacecraft.
  • So far there have been no announcement of the first attempt of propellant transfer between two ships.
  • For this market to resolve positively, the following should happen:

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[Polymarket] What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

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Reglas

In Artemis program SpaceX Starship is going to be used as Human Landing System (HLS), landing on the Moon with Artemis astronauts.

Manifold Markets
  • When launched from land, Starship doesn't have enough propellant to get to Moon orbit, let alone Moon surface.
  • To solve this problem, Starship will have to be refueled in orbit.
  • On Starship 3rd flight SpaceX plans to demonstrate propellant transfer within one spacecraft.
  • So far there have been no announcement of the first attempt of propellant transfer between two ships.
  • For this market to resolve positively, the following should happen: