Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 25 oct 2026, 5:08 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNov 16 to Nov 30, 2026 49.8%-2.2ptLíder entre 5 opciones
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7
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+9.2 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado8 oct 26, 22:37 UTC30 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
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Mercados Relacionados
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PolymarketReglas
Resolves to the bucket containing the liftoff date (UTC) of SpaceX's Starship Flight 15 (the 15th integrated Starship/Super Heavy test flight, the 4th Starship V3 flight).
- Source: SpaceX's official launch page / webcast (spacex.com/launches), cross-checked against Wikipedia's "List of Starship launches".
- Liftoff is what counts; a scrub, static fire, or wet dress rehearsal does not.
- the named outcome
