Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualBefore 2032 92.5%Líder entre 10 opciones
Pronosticadores
9
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado5 ago 26, 8:15 UTC31 dic 35, 22:59 UTC
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
In what year will SpaceX first launch Starship more times than Falcon 9?
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FutuurReglas
On the Q2 2026 SpaceX earnings call, Elon said that they aim to launch once per day in 2027, possibly more.
- This market asks a weaker question: when will they launch Starship twice within a 24 hour time period? This can be from different launch sites and with different Starships and different types of Starships.
- Since the launch sites could be in different time zones, local time of the second launch at the second launch site will be used for resolution.
