Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoEste mercado está cerrado y esperando una resolución confirmada.
Resuelto: 30 jun 2026, 14:13
Datos de resolución no verificados
Este resultado se infiere o no está respaldado por evidencia de liquidación de nivel proveedor.
Pronóstico comunitario actualBy May 31st 0%Líder entre 5 opciones
Pronosticadores
85
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 26 días
Desactualizado16 may 26, 16:2230 jun 26, 14:13
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.
Comparar plataformas· By May 31st
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMejor en general85% de coincidencia · verificado | Baja | 99% | — | 82 mil € | 293,2 mil € | hace 17 días | Abrir → |
 Polymarket82% de coincidencia · verificado | Baja | 100% | — | 13,3 mil € | 0 € | hace 16 días | Abrir → |
| Manifold Markets82% de coincidencia · vinculado | — | 100% | — | — | — | hace 18 días | Abrir → |
| Manifold MarketsEsta página | — | 0% | — | — | — | hace 26 días |
También disponible en Kalshi
When will OpenAI release GPT-5.6?
1.0 ptsCerrados
Resuelto
Before Jul 10, 2026 (99%)
+1.0pt99%
99%
99%
+11 resultados más
49 • Baja calidadSpread estrechoAlta liquidez
Volumen total698,3 mil €
Volumen 24h82 mil €
KALSHITambién disponible en Polymarket
GPT-5.6 released by which date?
2.3 ptsCerrados
+0.3pt100%
+0.8pt100%
+0.4pt100%
+17 resultados más
44 • Baja calidadSpread estrechoBaja liquidez
Volumen total3,7 M €
Volumen 24h13,3 mil €
POLYMARKETTambién disponible en Manifold Markets
GPT 5.6 released by which date?
Cerrados
+1.1pt100%
+1.0pt100%
+1.0pt100%
+7 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario77 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to the option corresponding to the first official public release or general availability date of the model designated as "GPT-5.6" by OpenAI.
- "By May 31st" resolves to YES if the release date is on or before May 31, 2026.
- Subsequent options resolve to YES if the release date falls within the respective weekly windows, following the exhaustion of the prior timeframe.
- If no model officially named "GPT-5.6" is released by the latest provided date, this market will resolve to N/A.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from OpenAI’s newsroom (https://openai.com/news/) or verified statements from OpenAI leadership.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Operaciones grandes
$2.8k99.7%POLYMARKETGPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026? — YesSomber-Icehace 18 d
POLYMARKETGPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026? — YesSomber-Icehace 18 d$1.3k99.0%KALSHIBefore Jul 10, 2026 — Yeshace 19 d
KALSHIBefore Jul 10, 2026 — Yeshace 19 d$2.0k99.0%KALSHIBefore Jul 9, 2026 — Nohace 19 d
KALSHIBefore Jul 9, 2026 — Nohace 19 d$1.2k93.3%POLYMARKETGPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026? — Nothoodrhace 20 d
POLYMARKETGPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026? — Nothoodrhace 20 d$1.1k99.9%POLYMARKETGPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026? — Noblunderbothace 21 d
POLYMARKETGPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026? — Noblunderbothace 21 d$1.1k63.3%POLYMARKETGPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026? — NoStraddleSellerhace 22 d
POLYMARKETGPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026? — NoStraddleSellerhace 22 d$2.9k98.1%POLYMARKETGPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026? — Nopulgarcito23hace 23 d
POLYMARKETGPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026? — Nopulgarcito23hace 23 d$13.2k99.9%POLYMARKETGPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026? — NoThe-Jokerhace 24 d
POLYMARKETGPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026? — NoThe-Jokerhace 24 dMercados Relacionados
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to the option corresponding to the first official public release or general availability date of the model designated as "GPT-5.6" by OpenAI.
- "By May 31st" resolves to YES if the release date is on or before May 31, 2026.
- Subsequent options resolve to YES if the release date falls within the respective weekly windows, following the exhaustion of the prior timeframe.
- If no model officially named "GPT-5.6" is released by the latest provided date, this market will resolve to N/A.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from OpenAI’s newsroom (https://openai.com/news/) or verified statements from OpenAI leadership.