Manifold MarketsSin KYCPronóstico comunitario actualBefore 11.59pm et June 30 2026 3.5%Líder entre 8 opciones
Pronosticadores
8
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 días
Desactualizado28 jun 26, 5:3331 dic 26, 23:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Before 11.59pm et June 30 20264%
También disponible en Polymarket
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
23.6%27d
+23.6%69%
+2.0%26%
-0.3%1%
+29 resultados más
100 • Alta calidadSpread estrechoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total38,8 mil €
Volumen 24h6,9 mil €
POLYMARKET
También disponible en Kalshi
When will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro?
7.0%5d
-7.0%18%
-10.0%37%
1%
+3 resultados más
44 • Baja calidadSpread amplioLiquidez media
Volumen total5,6 mil €
Volumen 24h182,3 €
KALSHIReglas
Resolves Yes if Google releases A model called Gemini 3.5 Pro or greater before the listed date.
- Outcome verified from Google.
- Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Mercados Relacionados
Which company has best AI model end of July?
376,6 mil €Anthropic: 89%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?
6,1 mil €By Dec 31, 2025: 74%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
5,6 mil €July 31: 76%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
4,7 mil €Sí: 44%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETAnthropic acquired by Apple before 2030?
1,8 mil €Sí: 2.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill "PSA: Almost nobody is working on alignment" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
1,3 mil €Sí: 5.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActivos en estos temas
Noticias Relacionadas
UN's First AI Safety Panel Says Scientists Can't Rule Out 'Catastrophic Harm'Decrypt
Google Unveils Gemini 3.5, Android 17 AI Features in June 2026Blockchain.News
NVIDIA Explores RLVR for AI Agents with Nemotron 3 SuperBlockchain.News
Anthropic Launches Claude Sonnet 5: Mid-Tier AI with Opus-Level FeaturesBlockchain.News
X.ai Launches No-Code Voice Agent Builder for Grok VoiceBlockchain.NewsTogether AI Raises $800M Series C for Open-Source AI PushBlockchain.NewsReglas
Resolves Yes if Google releases A model called Gemini 3.5 Pro or greater before the listed date.
- Outcome verified from Google.
- Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.