Aviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 25 oct 2026, 15:10 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actual
Before Dec 1, 2026 8%Líder entre 4 opciones
Pronosticadores
7
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 horas
Desactualizado4 sept 26, 11:39 UTC30 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
To satisfy the Payout Criterion, Anthropic must release to the public a model named "Mythos." Both conditions must be met by the same model:
- The model must be named "Mythos" (e.g., "Claude Mythos 5").
- A model that Anthropic describes as "Mythos-class" or as belonging to the Mythos tier, but that carries a different name (e.g., "Claude Fable 5"), does not satisfy the Payout Criterion, even if Anthropic states it is the same underlying model with modified safety features.
- Public release.
- A release restricted to a closed beta or to a limited set of approved or trusted organizations does not constitute a release to the public.
- A release available to the general public, including a release limited to a paid subscription tier, does constitute a release to the public.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Kalshi — When will Anthropic release Mythos? · Before Jan 1, 2027 11%