When will a Starship booster first land and relaunch without being removed from the launch tower?
TecnologíaOne-OffSpace8aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual2035 or earlier 84.3%Líder entre 7 opciones
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17
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multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
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Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado7 mar 24, 0:46 UTC1 ene 35, 12:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
Resolves YES once an individual Starship Super Heavy booster launches as part of a full stack launch, lands/is caught, and then launches again from the same launch tower/pad it landed at - without being removed from that tower in between the landing and relaunch
- Answers resolve NO once date is passed (or may resolve NO early if sufficiently certain)
- The booster can be picked up by the chopsticks (or equivalent), but if it is placed down on anything other than the launch mount (or equivalent) it is counted as having been removed
- Work done on the vehicle while it's on the launch mount (or equivalent) does not invalidate it
- The launches themselves don't need to be successful
- Starship Super Heavy booster does not need to be its exact name but it must be the first stage of a vehicle referred to in some sense as Starship and must have extensive shared heritage with the current SpaceX vehicle
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de When will a Starship booster first land and relaunch without being removed from the launch tower??
- Manifold Markets cotiza 2035 or earlier al 84% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve When will a Starship booster first land and relaunch without being removed from the launch tower??
- Está previsto que When will a Starship booster first land and relaunch without being removed from the launch tower? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2035.
- ¿Cómo se liquida When will a Starship booster first land and relaunch without being removed from the launch tower??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES once an individual Starship Super Heavy booster launches as part of a full stack launch, lands/is caught, and then launches again from the same launch tower/pad it landed at - without being removed from that tower in between the landing and relaunch