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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Tecnología
  3. When will a Starship booster first land and relaunch without being removed from the launch tower?
Manifold Markets

When will a Starship booster first land and relaunch without being removed from the launch tower?

TecnologíaOne-OffSpace8a
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSin KYC
Pronóstico comunitario actual
Manifold Markets
2026 or earlier 4.7%
Líder entre 7 opciones
Pronosticadores

17

Tipo de pregunta

multiple choice

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 5 días

Desactualizado
7 mar 24, 0:461 ene 35, 12:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

2026 or earlier5%

Reglas

Resolves YES once an individual Starship Super Heavy booster launches as part of a full stack launch, lands/is caught, and then launches again from the same launch tower/pad it landed at - without being removed from that tower in between the landing and relaunch

Manifold Markets
  • Answers resolve NO once date is passed (or may resolve NO early if sufficiently certain)
  • The booster can be picked up by the chopsticks (or equivalent), but if it is placed down on anything other than the launch mount (or equivalent) it is counted as having been removed
  • Work done on the vehicle while it's on the launch mount (or equivalent) does not invalidate it
  • The launches themselves don't need to be successful
  • Starship Super Heavy booster does not need to be its exact name but it must be the first stage of a vehicle referred to in some sense as Starship and must have extensive shared heritage with the current SpaceX vehicle

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Reglas

Resolves YES once an individual Starship Super Heavy booster launches as part of a full stack launch, lands/is caught, and then launches again from the same launch tower/pad it landed at - without being removed from that tower in between the landing and relaunch

Manifold Markets
  • Answers resolve NO once date is passed (or may resolve NO early if sufficiently certain)
  • The booster can be picked up by the chopsticks (or equivalent), but if it is placed down on anything other than the launch mount (or equivalent) it is counted as having been removed
  • Work done on the vehicle while it's on the launch mount (or equivalent) does not invalidate it
  • The launches themselves don't need to be successful
  • Starship Super Heavy booster does not need to be its exact name but it must be the first stage of a vehicle referred to in some sense as Starship and must have extensive shared heritage with the current SpaceX vehicle