Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo Movie by 1 Jan 2036 21.6%Líder entre 6 opciones
Pronosticadores
8
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado6 abr 26, 9:14 UTC1 ene 36, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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PolymarketReglas
Resolves as the calendar year of the first theatrical or major streaming (Netflix/HBO/Apple) release of a feature-length scripted film primarily based on the April 2026 F-15E shoot-down and rescue in Iran.
- Documentaries and short films do not count.
- If multiple movies are released in different years, the market resolves to the year of the first release.