Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoEste mercado está cerrado y esperando una resolución confirmada.
Resuelto: 8 nov 2026, 16:03
Esperando resolución verificada
CoinRithm espera una liquidación confirmada por el proveedor antes de tratar este mercado como resuelto.
Cronología de Probabilidad
The bride and groom get married95.6%
Someone breakdances competently0%
Someone who's not the bride wears a white dress0%
Someone wears a top hat0%
The flower girl runs away when it is time to go down the aisle28.8%
The Bride runs away when it is time to go down the aisle.6.5%
It rains outside during the ceremony1.2%
The best man loses the wedding rings9.2%
Two people make out who have never met before51%
Someone falls asleep at their table during the reception0%
The power goes out at the venue0%
Smores are consumed by guests0%
>7 person conga line on the dance floor50%
The US invades Iran0%
US-Iran peace deal announced0%
There is a ball pit0%
There is a giant Jenga tower47.6%
There is a Trampoline0%
The Bride is still awake at 2 am100%
The Groom is still awake at 2 am99%
It rains inside during the ceremony0%
Two trampolines make out (touch) who have never met before0%
The "It rains outside during the ceremony" market doxxes the approximate location of the ceremony0%
Somebody backflips on the trampoline0%
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KalshiReglas
My fiance and I are getting married tomorrow! This is a market for predicting what will happen during the wedding.
- Feel free to add options or suggest things in the comments! No proper nouns in answers, in order to respect attendees' privacy.
- Also my family may see this, so let's maintain some reasonable level of decorum please!
- Resolutions may be determined by me, my wife, or any attending manifold moderators.
- Options may be resolved N/A or to prob if overly ambiguous/misaligned.
- Thank you for participating!