Pronóstico comunitario actual
Somebody who has had a little too much alcohol makes a scene 14.8%+1.3ptLíder entre 21 opciones
Pronosticadores
37
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+1.1 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 minutos
4 sept 26, 12:01 UTC4 oct 26, 10:36 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Next General Nintendo Direct Prop Market (Add answers)
Manifold MarketsF1 2026 Prop Bets Spanish (Madrid, Madring) 🇪🇸 Grand Prix [LIVE, Add answers]
Manifold MarketsWill the bitcoin reach ... in 2026 (after market creation on the 25th of May 2026) [ADD ANSWERS] [CRYPTO => USDOLLARS]
Manifold MarketsNext Prime Minister of Romania?
PolymarketPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
KalshiWill the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
PolymarketReglas
I'm getting married this month! What could possibly go wrong? Add answers, be as creative and cruel as you like.
- I won't bet (except to initialise some very low probabilities) but I might add more answers.
- Resolves to the worst thing that actually happens. "Worst" is my judgement.
- Feel free to ask me which of two options would be worse.
- If there are two answers that overlap (e.g. "Somebody dies" and "the best man dies"; or "an ambulance gets called" and "an ambulance gets called because of a severe allergic reaction to the food"), I'll probably resolve to the more specific one, unless it feels really non-central and not so bad.
- If in doubt, ask me which one would count as worse.
Mercados abiertos
SportsKALSHISabalenka vs Noskova
- Aryna Sabalenka+6.0pt74.5%
- Linda Noskova-5.0pt25.5%
- Volumen total
- 12,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 11,2 M €
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
- 2 Winner+33.0pt100%
- O/U 2.5 Games+57.0pt100%
- 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)100%
+29 resultados más
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona18.1%
- Arsenal15.2%
- Paris Saint-Germain13.3%
+33 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 24 M €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Quarter Finals match
- Aryna Sabalenka72.6%
- Linda Noskova27.4%
- Volumen total
- 15,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,9 M €
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz57%
- Alexander Zverev+5.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton9%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 24,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,9 M €
KALSHIClub Brugge vs Aston Villa
- Aston Villa+49.0pt87.1%
- Tie-17.0pt9.9%
- Club Brugge-31.0pt3%
- Volumen total
- 2,1 M €
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF
- US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova
- Tiafoe vs Michelsen
- Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari
- United Arab Emirates vs Bangladesh
- 2027 Pro Football Champion
- MLB: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers (Sep 7, 2026)
- MLB: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins (Sep 7, 2026)
- Amgen Irish Open Winner
- MLB: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals (Sep 7, 2026)
- Real Madrid vs Inter
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de What will be the worst thing to go wrong at my wedding? [Add answers]?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Somebody who has had a little too much alcohol makes a scene al 15% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve What will be the worst thing to go wrong at my wedding? [Add answers]?
- Está previsto que What will be the worst thing to go wrong at my wedding? [Add answers] se resuelva el 4 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida What will be the worst thing to go wrong at my wedding? [Add answers]?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: I'm getting married this month! What could possibly go wrong? Add answers, be as creative and cruel as you like.