What will be the Total Domestic Gross of 'Project Hail Mary' (2026)?

Inflation6m

Manifold MarketsSin KYC

Pronóstico comunitario actual

Less than $200M (Implies a collapse in week 2) 0.5%

Líder entre 6 opciones

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

multiple choice

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado anteayer

Desactualizado

22 mar 26, 20:1731 dic 26, 23:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Less than $200M (Implies a collapse in week 2)

0.5%

$200M – $249.9M (Moderate legs, ~3x multiplier)

0.3%

$250M – $299.9M (Strong performance, ~3.4x multiplier)

0.5%

Resultado elegido

$300M – $349.9M (Likely outcome as of 3/21, if it matches The Martian)79%

Apuesta (USDT)

Reglas

This market tracks the final Domestic (North American) Cumulative Gross

After a massive $80.6 million opening weekend—the biggest non-franchise opening since Oppenheimer—the film is poised for a significant run.
Traders should consider the film's "legs" (longevity), its 95% Rotten Tomatoes score, and upcoming competition from The Super Mario Galaxy Movie on April 1.
Resolution Criteria
Primary Source: This market will resolve based on the "Domestic Total" figure reported by https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1993768961/?ref_=bo_di_table_1
Resolution Date: The market will resolve once Box Office Mojo lists the film as "Closed" or after 20 weeks of release (August 7, 2026), whichever comes first.

Mercados Relacionados

How high will inflation get in 2026?

22,9 mil €

Above 4%: 100%

POLYMARKET

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - June 2026

9 mil €

40.0–42.9: 34%

POLYMARKET

Producer Price Index (PPI) YoY - May 2026

6,2 mil €

6.0%–6.9%: 91%

POLYMARKET

Will Argentina's year-over-year inflation be below 18% for December 2026?

1,3 mil €

Sí: 2%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the inflation rate reach or exceed X at any point during 2026?

716,8 €

y ≥ 2.0%: 100%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Who will be the first trillionaire?

654,2 €

Elon Musk: 99%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,019.68+1.18%

EthereumETH$1,633.12+0.56%

SolanaSOL$64.38+0.08%

BNBBNB$590.65+0.59%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0837-0.13%

XRPXRP$1.11-1.01%

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Reglas

This market tracks the final Domestic (North American) Cumulative Gross

After a massive $80.6 million opening weekend—the biggest non-franchise opening since Oppenheimer—the film is poised for a significant run.
Traders should consider the film's "legs" (longevity), its 95% Rotten Tomatoes score, and upcoming competition from The Super Mario Galaxy Movie on April 1.
Resolution Criteria
Primary Source: This market will resolve based on the "Domestic Total" figure reported by https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1993768961/?ref_=bo_di_table_1
Resolution Date: The market will resolve once Box Office Mojo lists the film as "Closed" or after 20 weeks of release (August 7, 2026), whichever comes first.

What will be the Total Domestic Gross of 'Project Hail Mary' (2026)?

Inflation6m

Manifold MarketsSin KYC

Pronóstico comunitario actual

Less than $200M (Implies a collapse in week 2) 0.5%

Líder entre 6 opciones

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

multiple choice

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado anteayer

Desactualizado

22 mar 26, 20:1731 dic 26, 23:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Less than $200M (Implies a collapse in week 2)

0.5%

$200M – $249.9M (Moderate legs, ~3x multiplier)

0.3%

$250M – $299.9M (Strong performance, ~3.4x multiplier)

0.5%

Resultado elegido

$300M – $349.9M (Likely outcome as of 3/21, if it matches The Martian)79%

Apuesta (USDT)

Reglas

This market tracks the final Domestic (North American) Cumulative Gross

After a massive $80.6 million opening weekend—the biggest non-franchise opening since Oppenheimer—the film is poised for a significant run.
Traders should consider the film's "legs" (longevity), its 95% Rotten Tomatoes score, and upcoming competition from The Super Mario Galaxy Movie on April 1.
Resolution Criteria
Primary Source: This market will resolve based on the "Domestic Total" figure reported by https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1993768961/?ref_=bo_di_table_1
Resolution Date: The market will resolve once Box Office Mojo lists the film as "Closed" or after 20 weeks of release (August 7, 2026), whichever comes first.

Mercados Relacionados

How high will inflation get in 2026?

22,9 mil €

Above 4%: 100%

POLYMARKET

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - June 2026

9 mil €

40.0–42.9: 34%

POLYMARKET

Producer Price Index (PPI) YoY - May 2026

6,2 mil €

6.0%–6.9%: 91%

POLYMARKET

Will Argentina's year-over-year inflation be below 18% for December 2026?

1,3 mil €

Sí: 2%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the inflation rate reach or exceed X at any point during 2026?

716,8 €

y ≥ 2.0%: 100%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Who will be the first trillionaire?

654,2 €

Elon Musk: 99%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,019.68+1.18%

EthereumETH$1,633.12+0.56%

SolanaSOL$64.38+0.08%

BNBBNB$590.65+0.59%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0837-0.13%

XRPXRP$1.11-1.01%

Noticias Relacionadas

BlackRock warns of energy shock as May CPI is set to show acceleration in inflationCoindesk

Strategy's bitcoin purchase fails to stir BTC priceCoindesk

Bitcoin price stalls near $64K before key U.S. inflation dataCrypto News

Bitcoin braces for inflation shock as CPI puts bulls on edgeCrypto News

Blame bitcoin's tumble on rising inflation, not Strategy, 10xResearch arguesCoindesk

U.S. inflation, European Central Bank rate decision: Crypto Week AheadCoindesk

Reglas

This market tracks the final Domestic (North American) Cumulative Gross

After a massive $80.6 million opening weekend—the biggest non-franchise opening since Oppenheimer—the film is poised for a significant run.
Traders should consider the film's "legs" (longevity), its 95% Rotten Tomatoes score, and upcoming competition from The Super Mario Galaxy Movie on April 1.
Resolution Criteria
Primary Source: This market will resolve based on the "Domestic Total" figure reported by https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1993768961/?ref_=bo_di_table_1
Resolution Date: The market will resolve once Box Office Mojo lists the film as "Closed" or after 20 weeks of release (August 7, 2026), whichever comes first.