What will be the Total Domestic Gross of 'Project Hail Mary' (2026)?

Inflation5m

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibrado

Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos

Datos del 12 jul 2026, 7:29 UTC · política pm-quality-2

Pronóstico comunitario actual

Less than $200M (Implies a collapse in week 2) 0.2%-0.1%

Líder entre 6 opciones

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

multiple choice

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 14 días

Desactualizado

22 mar 26, 20:1731 dic 26, 23:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Less than $200M (Implies a collapse in week 2)

0.2%

$200M – $249.9M (Moderate legs, ~3x multiplier)

0.1%

$250M – $299.9M (Strong performance, ~3.4x multiplier)

0.2%

$350M – $399.9M (High-end breakout)

0.3%

$400M or more (Mega-blockbuster status)

0.2%

Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero

Resultado elegido

$300M – $349.9M (Likely outcome as of 3/21, if it matches The Martian)99%

Apuesta (USDT)

Reglas

This market tracks the final Domestic (North American) Cumulative Gross

After a massive $80.6 million opening weekend—the biggest non-franchise opening since Oppenheimer—the film is poised for a significant run.
Traders should consider the film's "legs" (longevity), its 95% Rotten Tomatoes score, and upcoming competition from The Super Mario Galaxy Movie on April 1.
Resolution Criteria
Primary Source: This market will resolve based on the "Domestic Total" figure reported by https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1993768961/?ref_=bo_di_table_1
Resolution Date: The market will resolve once Box Office Mojo lists the film as "Closed" or after 20 weeks of release (August 7, 2026), whichever comes first.

Tendencia de volumen

$1.5k

11 jul2d de datos12 jul

Mercados Relacionados

Fed Decision in July?

1,7 M €

No change: 80%

POLYMARKET

Fed rate hike in 2026?

48,8 mil €

Sí: 71%

POLYMARKET

Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)

10,8 mil €

Above 3.4%: 31%

KALSHI

Fed rate hike by which date?

CPI in July

US gasoline CPI for July

3,5 mil €

Above 335ㅤ: 1%

KALSHI

Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$64,505.58+0.71%

EthereumETH$1,886.17+1.51%

SolanaSOL$74.92+1.36%

BNBBNB$570.45+0.95%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0732+5.55%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.97%

Noticias Relacionadas

CPI Data Still Moves Bitcoin and Altcoins as Forex Brokers Spotlight Macro Cross-CurrentsBlockchain Reporter

Polymarket sees 84% odds of zero Fed cuts in 2026 after risk-off swingBlockchain.News

Bitcoin slides below $65K as Iran conflict fuels $100 oil and bond-yield surgeCointelegraph

Peter Schiff warns $100 oil could unleash a July inflation shockCrypto News

Polymarket puts Sept Fed hike at 50.5% on $4M volume amid oil, yieldsBlockchain.News

Polymarket odds favor 0 Fed cuts in 2026 at 84.65% on $44.6M volumeBlockchain.News

Reglas

This market tracks the final Domestic (North American) Cumulative Gross

After a massive $80.6 million opening weekend—the biggest non-franchise opening since Oppenheimer—the film is poised for a significant run.
Traders should consider the film's "legs" (longevity), its 95% Rotten Tomatoes score, and upcoming competition from The Super Mario Galaxy Movie on April 1.
Resolution Criteria
Primary Source: This market will resolve based on the "Domestic Total" figure reported by https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1993768961/?ref_=bo_di_table_1
Resolution Date: The market will resolve once Box Office Mojo lists the film as "Closed" or after 20 weeks of release (August 7, 2026), whichever comes first.

What will be the Total Domestic Gross of 'Project Hail Mary' (2026)?

Inflation5m

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibrado

Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos

Datos del 12 jul 2026, 7:29 UTC · política pm-quality-2

Pronóstico comunitario actual

Less than $200M (Implies a collapse in week 2) 0.2%-0.1%

Líder entre 6 opciones

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

multiple choice

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 14 días

Desactualizado

22 mar 26, 20:1731 dic 26, 23:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Less than $200M (Implies a collapse in week 2)

0.2%

$200M – $249.9M (Moderate legs, ~3x multiplier)

0.1%

$250M – $299.9M (Strong performance, ~3.4x multiplier)

0.2%

$350M – $399.9M (High-end breakout)

0.3%

$400M or more (Mega-blockbuster status)

0.2%

Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero

Resultado elegido

$300M – $349.9M (Likely outcome as of 3/21, if it matches The Martian)99%

Apuesta (USDT)

Reglas

This market tracks the final Domestic (North American) Cumulative Gross

After a massive $80.6 million opening weekend—the biggest non-franchise opening since Oppenheimer—the film is poised for a significant run.
Traders should consider the film's "legs" (longevity), its 95% Rotten Tomatoes score, and upcoming competition from The Super Mario Galaxy Movie on April 1.
Resolution Criteria
Primary Source: This market will resolve based on the "Domestic Total" figure reported by https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1993768961/?ref_=bo_di_table_1
Resolution Date: The market will resolve once Box Office Mojo lists the film as "Closed" or after 20 weeks of release (August 7, 2026), whichever comes first.

Tendencia de volumen

$1.5k

11 jul2d de datos12 jul

Mercados Relacionados

Fed Decision in July?

1,7 M €

No change: 80%

POLYMARKET

Fed rate hike in 2026?

48,8 mil €

Sí: 71%

POLYMARKET

Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)

10,8 mil €

Above 3.4%: 31%

KALSHI

Fed rate hike by which date?

CPI in July

US gasoline CPI for July

3,5 mil €

Above 335ㅤ: 1%

KALSHI

Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$64,505.58+0.71%

EthereumETH$1,886.17+1.51%

SolanaSOL$74.92+1.36%

BNBBNB$570.45+0.95%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0732+5.55%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.97%

Noticias Relacionadas

CPI Data Still Moves Bitcoin and Altcoins as Forex Brokers Spotlight Macro Cross-CurrentsBlockchain Reporter

Polymarket sees 84% odds of zero Fed cuts in 2026 after risk-off swingBlockchain.News

Bitcoin slides below $65K as Iran conflict fuels $100 oil and bond-yield surgeCointelegraph

Peter Schiff warns $100 oil could unleash a July inflation shockCrypto News

Polymarket puts Sept Fed hike at 50.5% on $4M volume amid oil, yieldsBlockchain.News

Polymarket odds favor 0 Fed cuts in 2026 at 84.65% on $44.6M volumeBlockchain.News

Reglas

This market tracks the final Domestic (North American) Cumulative Gross

After a massive $80.6 million opening weekend—the biggest non-franchise opening since Oppenheimer—the film is poised for a significant run.
Traders should consider the film's "legs" (longevity), its 95% Rotten Tomatoes score, and upcoming competition from The Super Mario Galaxy Movie on April 1.
Resolution Criteria
Primary Source: This market will resolve based on the "Domestic Total" figure reported by https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1993768961/?ref_=bo_di_table_1
Resolution Date: The market will resolve once Box Office Mojo lists the film as "Closed" or after 20 weeks of release (August 7, 2026), whichever comes first.