Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualCollatz conjecture is true 84.7%Líder entre 6 opciones
Pronosticadores
10
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado14 abr 22, 15:57 UTC1 ene 50, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
If someone publishes a counterexample Collatz conjecture and the mathematical community accepts it, this market resolves to that number.
- If someone publishes a proof of Collatz conjecture and the mathematical community accepts it, this market resolves #1.
- If this market doesn't resolve by the end of 2049, it resolves N/A. Apr 14, 12:08am: This was inspired by my Discord conversation with Gurkenglas about free-response market mechanisms.
- The point was to test / demonstrate a specific type of market failure with the current mechanism.
- Note: When I created this market the answers were numbered. #1 refers to the first answer submitted, in this case "the named outcome".
