Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo convergence on a term by EOY 2027 40.5%Líder entre 6 opciones
Pronosticadores
8
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado1 jun 25, 16:59 UTC1 ene 28, 17:53 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
Just as "vibecoding" and "slop" quickly became the established terms for the novel AI-driven phenomena they were describing, one might expect convergence on a popular term for the possibility of mass job loss precipitated by modern AI.
- A qualifying term must be mainly used to refer to AI job loss in general, or the abstract idea of a set of AI-induced layoff, rather than a specific set of layoffs or job loss in a particular economic sector (more specific than "white-collar workers").
- I'll resolve if it seems like popular culture has mostly converged on a single term.
- This will necessarily be a vibes-y resolution.
- To decide when to resolve, I'll draw from sources including popular X posts, Reddit, and news articles (a la this one about vibecoding in the NYT).
- I'll also give time for commenters to discuss the extent to which a term has solidified, and the extent to which there are extant rival terms, before resolving.
