What will be the dominant unit of economic power used by humans in 2040?
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Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
US Dollar (USD)* 65.1%Líder entre 16 opciones
US Dollar (USD)* 65.1%Pronosticadores
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 17 horas
Desactualizado4 nov 24, 16:21 UTC1 ene 40, 22:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
*Includes descendants/forks
- Resolution Criteria:
- This question will be resolved based on the state of the global human economy on January 1st, 2040.
- The dominant unit will be determined by the total value of economic transactions denominated in the unit during the calendar year 2039, as measured by the most widely accepted economic metrics available in 2040.
- This includes all forms of trade, exchange, and value transfer involving at least one human party.
- If the dominant unit is pegged to another listed option (e.g., if a currency is backed by or formally pegged to gold, computation, energy, etc.), both the primary unit and its peg resolve as 'Yes.'