Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actual<10% 83.9%Líder entre 10 opciones
Pronosticadores
32
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado16 ene 26, 20:50 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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PolymarketReglas
This market matches AI Research: OpenAI-Proof Q&A from the AI 2026 Forecasting Survey by AI Digest.
- See other manifold questions here
- [image]Resolution criteria
- Resolves to the best reported performance on OpenAI-Proof Q&A as of December 31, 2026.
- If OpenAI changes the task set, use the latest official reported version.
- If no 2026 results are published, the question resolves as ambiguous.
