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  1. Mercados de Predicción
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  3. What will be included in the Iran-US peace deal?
Manifold Markets

What will be included in the Iran-US peace deal?

PolíticaIAGeopolítica6m
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSin KYC
Pronóstico comunitario actual
Manifold Markets
Opening of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz without tolls. 95.3%
Líder entre 10 opciones
Pronosticadores

15

Tipo de pregunta

multiple choice

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 8 horas

Desactualizado
8 abr 26, 0:561 ene 27, 1:40

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Opening of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz without tolls.95%

Reglas

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market will resolve based on the official outcome of the current diplomatic negotiations between the United States and Iran regarding a long-term peace agreement, during or after the two-week ceasefire period initiated on April 7, 2026.
  • If no peace deal is reached by the end of 2026, the options on what will be included resolve NO.
  • As of April 8, 2026, the United States and Iran have entered a two-week ceasefire mediated by Pakistan.
  • This pause in military hostilities follows weeks of escalating tensions, during which President Donald Trump issued multiple threats to target Iranian critical infrastructure—specifically bridges and power plants—unless Iran agreed to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and enter into a long-term peace agreement.
  • President Trump has characterized the current 10-point proposal from Iran as a "workable basis" for negotiation and has stated that both the U.S. and Iran are "very far along" in drafting a definitive agreement.

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Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,515.36-2.55%SolanaSOL$68.30-4.34%EthereumETH$1,692.03-3.30%DogecoinDOGE$0.0823-3.10%BNBBNB$572.41-3.08%AvalancheAVAX$6.03-9.37%

Noticias Relacionadas

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Reglas

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market will resolve based on the official outcome of the current diplomatic negotiations between the United States and Iran regarding a long-term peace agreement, during or after the two-week ceasefire period initiated on April 7, 2026.
  • If no peace deal is reached by the end of 2026, the options on what will be included resolve NO.
  • As of April 8, 2026, the United States and Iran have entered a two-week ceasefire mediated by Pakistan.
  • This pause in military hostilities follows weeks of escalating tensions, during which President Donald Trump issued multiple threats to target Iranian critical infrastructure—specifically bridges and power plants—unless Iran agreed to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and enter into a long-term peace agreement.
  • President Trump has characterized the current 10-point proposal from Iran as a "workable basis" for negotiation and has stated that both the U.S. and Iran are "very far along" in drafting a definitive agreement.