What version number will Anthropic's next Claude Fable model carry? (released by Nov 30, 2026)
14.8 pts (24h)IAOne-OffTecnología29d
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualFable 5.5 82.4%+14.8ptLíder entre 5 opciones
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Cambio 7d
+62.4 pts
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Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado30 oct 26, 12:54 UTC30 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
What version number will Anthropic give its next Claude Fable model (the first Fable newer than Claude Fable 5.1)? Resolves to the answer matching the name Anthropic uses in its official announcement (anthropic.com/news or the Claude model docs) for the first new Fable model made generally available (Claude apps, API or a cloud partner) between market creation and November 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC. - "the named outcome", "the named outcome", "the named outcome": the exact version number in the official name. - "the named outcome": any other number (5.3, 5.6, 6.5, a date-style name, etc.). - "the named outcome": nothing newer than Fable 5.1 is generally available by the deadline.
- Rumors, leaks, partner-only previews and hidden-routing reports don't count; only a general release does.
- If Anthropic releases two new Fable models on the same day, the lower version number counts.
- I'll resolve as soon as the official announcement is out.
- Context: Fable 5 shipped June 9 and Fable 5.1 on September 1, 2026.
- Rumors have used both "5.2" and "5.5" for the next one; neither name appears in any Anthropic document as of Oct 30.
