Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 73.4%
Pronosticadores
20
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado28 feb 26, 3:14 UTC1 ene 29, 3:01 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Which cutoffs will MAA announce in the 2026-27 competition cycle?
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KalshiReglas
Resolves N/A if we do not have evidence by the end of 2028.
- Resolves YES if we have evidence that factors other than index, graduation year, gender, cheating* or MOP/TST protection affected whether or not an individual was invited to USA(J)MO (any year).
- Examples of this include race/ethnicity, or region (within the US).
- Resolves NO if we have evidence (like a public statement from MAA, or real public cutoffs) that no external factors would used in determining qualification.
- *MAA disqualifying clear cheaters does not count for this market
- Does not resolve YES off of an unintentional mistake (e.g. MAA accidentally forgot to send some emails, leading to luck being a factor)
Mercados abiertos
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64+6.0pt47.6%
- 65-89+5.0pt28.6%
- <40-3.0pt15.2%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 35,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 11,8 mil €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No99%
- Yes-67.0pt1%
- Volumen total
- 10,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 7,4 mil €
KALSHIWill NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?
- No87%
- Yes+1.0pt13%
- Volumen total
- 8,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,5 mil €
POLYMARKETWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- No-2.0pt76%
- Yes+2.0pt24%
- Volumen total
- 14,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 608,1 €
FORECASTEXWill Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Volumen total
- 515,7 €
- Volumen 24h
- 515,7 €
FORECASTEXWill Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?
- Yes85%
- No15%
- Volumen total
- 515,7 €
- Volumen 24h
- 515,7 €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de USA(J)MO cutoffs are biased??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 73% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve USA(J)MO cutoffs are biased??
- Está previsto que USA(J)MO cutoffs are biased? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida USA(J)MO cutoffs are biased??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves N/A if we do not have evidence by the end of 2028.