US govt owns >=5% equity in OpenAI, Anthropic, Alphabet or Meta or xAI by 2026?
IAOne-OffUS PoliticsTecnología3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 92.9%
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Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado25 ago 25, 21:10 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Inspired by: https://caithrin.substack.com/p/10-ownership-of-intel-should-worry
- I'm not entirely sure how to resolve complex mechanisms of ownership - I wouldn't count eg: the govt as an LP to a fund owning this share.
- Ask a question, or suggest a mechanism if you're unsure of resolution.
- This would definitely resolve YES if an Intel-style equity-for-subsidy deal happens leading to the federal govt owning >5%.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de US govt owns >=5% equity in OpenAI, Anthropic, Alphabet or Meta or xAI by 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 93% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve US govt owns >=5% equity in OpenAI, Anthropic, Alphabet or Meta or xAI by 2026??
- Está previsto que US govt owns >=5% equity in OpenAI, Anthropic, Alphabet or Meta or xAI by 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida US govt owns >=5% equity in OpenAI, Anthropic, Alphabet or Meta or xAI by 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Inspired by: https://caithrin.substack.com/p/10-ownership-of-intel-should-worry