US fertility rate in 2030 >= 1.7 if (and only if) Taylor Swift announces a pregnancy by 2029?
One-OffSociedad y cultura4a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 25 oct 2026, 20:15 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 50.8%
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18
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
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Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado27 ago 25, 3:32 UTC1 mar 31, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Resolves exactly according to these underlying markets:
- [markets]Biconditional defined in the usual fashion: this question resolves yes if both events happen or neither, no if exactly one happens.